Every call I have published, from Oct 7, 2026: losers, withdrawn and superseded calls included. Each call is measured against a benchmark from the price at call, 1, 3 and 6 months after the call date.
What counts as a hit
- Buy (full) or Buy (half): a hit if the stock beats its benchmark over the horizon.
- Wait or Steer clear: a hit if the stock matches or trails its benchmark (staying out was right).
- Short: a hit if the stock falls or trails its benchmark.
Benchmark: SPY for every call so far (each row names it). Screen results are not calls and are not scored. Withdrawn calls and words that are not on the rating scale are listed but not scored.
Hit rates
| Rating | Scored (n) | Hits | Hit rate | Pending |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | 0 | 0 | n/a | 9 |
| Wait | 0 | 0 | n/a | 33 |
| Steer clear | 0 | 0 | n/a | 9 |
| Short | 0 | 0 | n/a | 0 |
Every call (17)
| Date | Ticker | Rating | Status | Price at call | Benchmark | 1 month | 3 months | 6 months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPOT | Wait | Superseded same day | $529.14 Close, Oct 9 | SPY | pending (Nov 11) | pending (Jan 11) | pending (Apr 11) | |
| INTU | Buy (half) | Current | $302.75 Close, Oct 9 | SPY | pending (Nov 11) | pending (Jan 11) | pending (Apr 11) | |
| NVDA | Buy (half) | Current | $229.28 Close, Oct 9 | SPY | pending (Nov 11) | pending (Jan 11) | pending (Apr 11) | |
| SPOT | Buy (half) | Current | $529.14 Close, Oct 9 | SPY | pending (Nov 11) | pending (Jan 11) | pending (Apr 11) | |
| MMED | Steer clear | Current | $19.80 Close, Oct 8 | SPY | pending (Nov 9) | pending (Jan 9) | pending (Apr 9) | |
| SDEV | Steer clear | Current | $1.67 Intraday, 11:50 AM ET, Oct 9 | SPY | pending (Nov 9) | pending (Jan 9) | pending (Apr 9) | |
| NVDA | Wait | Superseded Oct 11 | $229.28 Close, Oct 9 | SPY | pending (Nov 9) | pending (Jan 9) | pending (Apr 9) | |
| INTU | Wait | Superseded Oct 11 | $302.75 Close, Oct 9 | SPY | pending (Nov 9) | pending (Jan 9) | pending (Apr 9) | |
| ROP | Wait | Current | $364.09 Close, Oct 9 | SPY | pending (Nov 9) | pending (Jan 9) | pending (Apr 9) | |
| MOD | Wait | Current | $181.56 Close, Oct 9 | SPY | pending (Nov 9) | pending (Jan 9) | pending (Apr 9) | |
| WS | Steer clear | Current | $36.05 Close, Oct 9 | SPY | pending (Nov 9) | pending (Jan 9) | pending (Apr 9) | |
| FLEX | Wait | Current | $119.83 Close, Oct 9 | SPY | pending (Nov 9) | pending (Jan 9) | pending (Apr 9) | |
| VYLR | Wait | Current | $73.15 Close, Oct 9 | SPY | pending (Nov 9) | pending (Jan 9) | pending (Apr 9) | |
| BRO | Wait | Current | $63.75 Close, Oct 8 | SPY | pending (Nov 8) | pending (Jan 8) | pending (Apr 8) | |
| ZTS | Wait | Current | $73.08 Close, Oct 8 | SPY | pending (Nov 8) | pending (Jan 8) | pending (Apr 8) | |
| INTU | Wait | Superseded Oct 11 | $297.24 Oct 7 close | SPY | pending (Nov 8) | pending (Jan 8) | pending (Apr 8) | |
| NVDA | Wait | Superseded Oct 11 | $237.47 Close, Oct 7 | SPY | pending (Nov 7) | pending (Jan 7) | pending (Apr 7) |
Caveats
- Paper calls: no trading costs, slippage, borrow fees or dividends; price return only.
- Small sample, short history (first call Oct 7, 2026). A hit rate on a handful of calls says little.
- Results are stock return vs. benchmark return over the same window; the benchmark starts at the close of the session the call price refers to (the prior close for an intraday price).